The Senior Manager, Vaccine Forecasting sits within the Vaccine Forecasting and Supply Management (VFSM) team in Gavi's Vaccine Programmes & Markets department, reporting to the Head, Vaccine Forecasting. This is a 5-year fixed-term contract based in Geneva (Career Step 4, no direct reports). The role works closely with Market Shaping, Vaccine Programmes, Finance and country delivery colleagues, and engages externally with UNICEF Supply Division and other partners. Its core purpose is to lead forecasting for an assigned portfolio of vaccine programmes so that demand, supply, price and cost projections support clear, timely and well-informed operational and strategic decisions.
Key responsibilities:
* Lead forecasting for a designated portfolio of vaccine programmes, producing demand, supply, price and cost projections.
* Contribute to cross-cutting forecasting activities across Gavi's vaccine portfolio requiring specialised modelling and analysis.
* Develop, maintain and continuously improve forecasting models and documentation.
* Coordinate the collection, validation and integration of programme inputs into forecast updates.
* Generate and analyse forecast scenarios, communicate results and respond to stakeholder analysis requests.
* Monitor actuals against forecasts, reporting on forecast accuracy, risks and issues affecting programme performance, supply continuity or financial planning.
* Advise on vaccine-specific factors and dose quantification for country planning and grant approval processes.
* Support vaccine working groups on supply and demand imbalances and manufacturer disruptions.
* Contribute to continuous improvement of forecasting processes, methodologies, tools and systems, and to team enablement (SOPs, KPIs, backup support).
Requirements:
* Typically 8-12 years of experience in forecasting, supply planning or demand planning within pharmaceutical (vaccine preferred), global public health or FMCG environments.
* Experience building and maintaining forecast models for short- and long-term projections; multiuser forecasting systems preferable.
* Experience handling programmatic, operational and financial data from multiple sources, including quality control and analytics.
* Experience supporting strategic and operational decision-making and working across multiple stakeholders.
* University degree in economics, finance, engineering, statistics or another quantitative discipline required; master's preferred.
* Strong Excel-based modelling expertise; SQL and scripting (VBA, Python, R) and AI skills applied to forecasting preferred.
* Fluent English required; French desirable.
HOW TO APPLY:
Apply online through the Gavi applicant portal using the vacancy link (Vacancy No. VN2541).
https://fs-2662.my.salesforce-sites.com/recruit/fRecruit__ApplyJob?vacancyNo=VN2541&portal=Global